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量子资源网 Insights 鈥 including our new podcast 鈥 puts the vast depth of 量子资源网鈥檚 expertise at your fingertips, helping you stay informed about the latest healthcare trends and topics. Below, you can easily search based on your topic of interest to find useful information from our podcast, blogs, webinars, case studies, reports and more.

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Blog

MyCare Ohio: The Next Generation鈥檚 impact on the Ohio Medicare & Medicaid landscape

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The transition of MyCare Ohio to the Next Generation of its program on January 1, 2026, marks a significant evolution in the way Ohio provides healthcare services to its dual-eligible population 鈥 those who qualify for both Medicaid and Medicare services.聽This evolution moves Ohio to a Fully Integrated Dual Eligible Special Needs Plan model (FIDE SNP) that aims to achieve several key goals through a population health approach, designed to address inequities and disparities in care for dual-eligible individuals.聽These goals include:

  • Improved Care Coordination. Strengthening integration between Medicare and Medicaid services to provide seamless, holistic care for individuals, reducing fragmentation and ensuring comprehensive management of medical, behavioral, and social needs.
  • Personalized Care. Utilizing data analytics and technology to create more tailored care plans, with a focus on proactive care to address the unique health needs of each individual, especially those with chronic conditions.
  • Expanded Access to Services. Increasing accessibility, particularly through telehealth and digital tools, to reach underserved populations and improve convenience for patients, particularly those in rural or remote areas.
  • Enhanced Quality of Care. Shifting focus from service volume to outcomes, encouraging providers to deliver high-quality care and improve patient satisfaction, while incentivizing preventive care to reduce hospital admissions and other high-cost interventions.
  • Technology Integration. Leveraging advanced technologies like mobile apps, predictive analytics, and telemedicine to monitor patient health, improve communication between patients and providers, and enable more efficient care delivery.

The current MyCare program is offered in 29 counties across Ohio but will transition to a statewide program as a part of the Next Generation changes. Additionally, Coordination Only Dual Eligible Special Needs Plans (CO DSNP) will no longer be permitted.

After the Ohio Department of Medicaid (ODM) publicly released the request for applications (RFA) and evaluated submitted proposals, they selected four Managed Care Organization (MCOs) that will become the Next Generation MyCare plans. The ODM awarded the following MCOs to serve MyCare members beginning in January 2026: Anthem Blue Cross and Blue Shield, Buckeye Health Plan, CareSource, and Molina HealthCare of Ohio.

The shift to the FIDE SNP model and selection of four participating health plans will have a considerable impact on the competitive landscape for Medicare and Medicaid managed care in Ohio. The resulting changes can affect both selected and non-selected participants in different ways, including:

  • Increased competition among chosen MyCare MCOs. MCOs will need to focus on enhancing their care coordination systems, adopting new technologies, and developing personalized care plans to compete not just on the volume of services provided but also on the quality and effectiveness of care. Those who can best integrate services, offer proactive care management, and improve patient outcomes through value-based care and advanced technology initiatives will gain the competitive advantage, potentially attracting more beneficiaries.
  • Strategic responses of nonparticipating MCOs to counter potential membership and financial losses. MCOs that lose membership by not being selected, or are unable to offer CO DSNPs moving forward, will likely strategize how to gain membership through other product lines or benefit design to offset losses. Strategies may vary but could include tactics such as enhancing benefits or decreasing member cost shares to entice member movement across carriers for non-DSNP plans; finding innovative ways to further reach different segments within the Medicare population, such as Value Based Insurance Design (VBID) packages or Chronic SNP plays; or shifting focus to product lines outside of Medicare Advantage and Medicaid.

Ohio is one of many states transitioning to a FIDE model beginning January 2026. 量子资源网 (量子资源网) has successfully supported participating and non-participating carriers throughout the transition process and continues to be a dedicated partner to organizations navigating Medicare and Medicaid changes across the country.  Contact one of 量子资源网鈥檚 many experts for more details on how to navigate this evolution in health care.

Blog

Major changes to Medicare Advantage and Part D proposed by CMS for 2026

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This week’s In Focus聽section examines a comprehensive proposed rule that the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS)聽聽on November 26, 2024. These highly anticipated regulations鈥攚hich represent the last major Medicare regulations from the Biden Administration鈥攊nclude several significant and聽聽designed to strengthen plan oversight and enhance beneficiary protections for millions of Medicare beneficiaries who have coverage through Medicare Advantage and Medicare Part D plans beginning in contract year 2026. The rule also comprises proposals with fiscal and policy implications for state Medicaid programs.

Comments on the proposed rule are due by January 27, 2025, and the incoming Trump Administration could make significant changes before finalization. New administration officials may choose to delay certain provisions, scale back, or eliminate certain proposed policy changes when they finalize the regulations next year.

This article explains several of the proposed policies, considerations for healthcare stakeholders, and developments that 量子资源网 (量子资源网) experts will be tracking in the coming weeks.

Coverage of Anti-Obesity Medications Under Medicare Part D and Medicaid

In the proposed regulations, CMS seeks to expand coverage of anti-obesity medications (AOMs) under the Medicare Part D and Medicaid programs. Under current Medicare Part D coverage rules, medications used exclusively for weight loss are excluded from the definition of a Part D covered drug. Through the proposed change, CMS is seeking to align Medicare and Medicaid coverage policy with the prevailing medical consensus that recognizes obesity as a chronic disease.

Under the proposed reinterpretation, CMS would expand eligibility for Part D coverage of AOMs for Medicare beneficiaries with obesity. AOMs used for weight loss or chronic weight management would continue to be excluded from Part D coverage under the proposed regulation.

As it relates to Medicaid, CMS鈥檚 proposed reinterpretation would require Medicaid coverage for anti-obesity medications when used for weight loss or chronic weight management for the treatment of obesity. State Medicaid programs would continue to have discretion to use preferred drug lists and prior authorization (PA) to establish certain limitations on the coverage of these drugs, consistent with existing statutory requirements.

CMS estimates the proposal would increase federal costs by $24.8 billion as the result of expanded Part D coverage and $14.8 billion because of expanded Medicaid coverage over a 10-year period.

Key considerations: Though expanded access to innovative medications may improve access and outcomes for obese patients, these considerations may need to be balanced against the proposal鈥檚 considerable fiscal costs. In addition, key health nominees put forth by President-Elect Donald J. Trump have different views about how best to prevent and treat chronic disease, creating additional uncertainty about whether this proposed expansion will go forward.

Strengthening Prior Authorization and Utilization Management Guardrails

The proposed rule includes a series of recommendations for reforming Medicare Advantage PA, utilization management (UM), and coverage decisions, which include:

  • Defining the meaning of internal coverage criteria to clarify when MA plans may apply UM
  • Ensuring MA plans鈥 internal coverage policies are transparent and readily available to the public
  • Requiring plans to inform beneficiaries of their appeal rights
  • Revising the current metrics for the annual health equity analysis on the use of PA to require more detailed and granular reporting to allow CMS to determine whether MA plans disproportionately deny certain services

Key considerations: Continued scrutiny of MA plans鈥 PA practices and strong bipartisan support for reforms increase the likelihood that certain changes will be made to these policies within the next year.

Enhancing Medicare Plan Finder to Include Information on Plan Provider Directories

Another notable proposal would require MA plans to make provider directory data available to CMS for inclusion in Medicare Plan Finder (MPF), the online tool that allows beneficiaries to compare coverage options, including Medicare Advantage and Part D plans. At present, provider directories must be accessible on MA plans websites.

CMS seeks to enhance MPF with searchable provider information for all MA plans while requiring plans to attest to the accuracy of the provider directory data, including updating data within 30 days of receiving notification that provider information has changed. CMS would ensure compliance with this expectation by requiring plans to meet data compliance and quality checks, which will be detailed in upcoming technical guidance.

Improving Access to Behavioral Health Care

The proposed rule furthers federal policymakers鈥 initiatives to address the nation鈥檚 behavioral health crisis. CMS proposes to establish the following three standards to ensure that beneficiary cost sharing in Medicare Advantage is no greater than in Traditional Medicare:

  • A 20 percent coinsurance or an actuarially equivalent copayment rate for mental health specialty services, psychiatric services, partial hospitalization, and outpatient substance abuse services
  • No cost sharing for opioid treatment programs
  • All (100 percent) of the estimated Traditional Medicare cost sharing for inpatient psychiatric services

Improve Oversight and Administration of Supplemental Benefits

MA plans may offer a variety of supplemental benefits such as vision, dental, and gym memberships, which have come under increasing scrutiny by CMS. CMS proposed several actions to reduce misuse of these benefits, including:

  • Outlining proper usage by MA organizations and enrollees
  • Adding disclosure rules for transparency
  • Ensuring enrollees can access covered services through alternative methods
  • Requiring real-time electronic links between debit cards and covered services
  • Defining acceptable over-the-counter products.

Key Considerations: CMS officials in President-Elect Trump鈥檚 first administration expanded flexibility for plans to offer supplemental benefits. Incoming policy officials may seek an opportunity to fully review the Biden Administration鈥檚 proposals. Data and experience-informed comments from MA plans and stakeholders can support such discussions.

Improve Care Experience for Dual Eligibles

CMS proposed the following two new federal requirements for Dual Eligible Special Needs Plans (D-SNPs) that are applicable integrated plans (AIPs):

  • AIP D-SNPs will need to have integrated member ID cards for their Medicare and Medicaid plans.
  • D-SNPs will be required to conduct an integrated health risk assessment for Medicare and Medicaid, rather than separate ones for each program.

Key Considerations: These proposals further CMS鈥檚 multi-year work to advance integrated care by applying Medicare-Medicaid Plan features into D-SNP requirements. States and MA and Medicaid plans should plan for operational and policy changes if the proposals are finalized.

Formulary Inclusion and Placement of Generics and Biosimilars

CMS proposes to require Part D formularies to provide beneficiaries with broad access to generic, biosimilar, and other low-cost drugs while also ensuring that tier placement and UM practices do not limit access to these drugs as compared with more expensive brand name and reference products.

Key considerations: If finalized, the proposal would require MA-PD and Part D plans to update their approach and considerations for plan formulary development. Consumer groups and other stakeholders should consider the possibility that the proposal will improve access to lower cost products.

Other Topics in the Proposed Rule

In addition, the proposed rule calls for the following:

  • Guardrails for artificial intelligence to protect access to health services, such as requiring that MA plans ensure services are provided equitably, regardless of delivery method or origin (i.e., human or automated systems)
  • Changes to MA and Part D medical loss ratio (MLR) reporting to improve the meaningfulness and comparability of MLR across plan contracts
  • Expanded Part D medication therapy management eligibility criteria
  • Adding and updating measures addressed in this proposed rule, beginning with the 2028 Star Ratings
  • Promoting community-based services and enhancing transparency of in-home service providers, including new definitions and standards for community-based organizations
  • Codifying existing guidance related to implementation of the Medicare Prescription Payment Plan, which is part of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA)

What to Watch

During the lame duck session, Congress could advance legislation related to some proposals in this rule. Specifically, PA has been an area of significant bipartisan interest, along with access to and cost of GLP-1 products. CMS will need to ensure the final MA and Part D policy and technical rule for contract year 2026 reflects approved statutory changes.

In addition, 量子资源网 is watching key appointments within the US Department of Health and Human Services, including individuals selected to lead CMS鈥 Medicare and Medicaid centers. These appointments will provide valuable insights on the emerging policy agenda of the incoming administration.

Connect with Us

量子资源网鈥檚 Medicare and Medicaid experts will continue to assess and analyze the policy and political landscape, which will determine the final policies in the MA and Part D policy and technical rule for contract year 2026. 量子资源网鈥檚 experts have the depth of knowledge, experience, and subject matter expertise to assist organizations that engage in the rulemaking process and to support implementation of final policies, including policy development, tailored analysis, and modeling capabilities, as well as quality improvement initiatives and plan benefit design.

For further analysis of the MA and Part D proposed rule and potential impact on MA and Part D plans, Medicaid programs, providers, and beneficiaries, contact聽our featured experts below.

Blog

Insights into federal approval of Medicaid-covered traditional healing to improve culturally relevant care for AI/AN populations

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This week’s In Focus聽section reviews new state initiatives to cover traditional healing services through Medicaid for American Indian/Alaska Native (AI/AN) individuals and communities.聽

Overview 

In October 2024, The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS)  Medicaid Section 1115 demonstration amendments for , , , and , allowing Medicaid and Children鈥檚 Health Insurance Program (CHIP) coverage of traditional healing services delivered at or through Indian Health Service facilities, Tribal facilities, and urban Indian organizations (I/T/U facilities). 

This demonstration approval enables state Medicaid agencies to acknowledge traditional healthcare practices as important components of the wellness continuum of care for Native American populations. Medicaid funding will help strengthen and expand access to these services and support integration of these services into primary care, substance use disorder (SUD) treatment, and other behavioral health care in a way that I/T/U providers have designed and developed to meet the unique needs of their community. 

Demonstrations for Arizona and Oregon are approved through September 30, 2027, New Mexico鈥檚 demonstration is authorized through December 31, 2029, and California鈥檚 through December 31, 2026. 

Traditional Health Services: Providing Culturally Relevant Care 

AI/AN populations generally experience worse health disparities compared with non-AI/AN populations, particularly in terms of obesity, diabetes, tobacco addiction, and cancer. AI/AN populations also face higher rates of mental health disorders, SUDs, and suicide. 

Using Transformed Medicaid Statistical Information System (T-MSIS) claims and demographics data, 量子资源网, Inc. (量子资源网), staff assessed the incidence of specific chronic diseases in the Native American and non-Native American population in the four states approved to cover traditional healing services through their Medicaid program. For example, in these states, the prevalence of diabetes in AI/AN populations ranged from 27 percent to 87 percent higher than among non-AI/AN groups. Figure 1 shows the percentage of three chronic conditions among these groups in the four states. 

Figure 1. Percentage of AI/AN vs. Non-AI/AN Medicaid Beneficiaries Living with Chronic Conditions in AZ, CA, NM, and OR (2022) 

Source: 量子资源网 analysis of 2022 T-MSIS (Transformed Medicaid Statistical Information System)

The demonstration approval is expected to improve access to culturally appropriate healthcare to address these disparities in chronic conditions for Tribal communities. Traditional healthcare practices vary widely across the 574 federally recognized Tribes in the United States, and many see traditional healthcare practices as a fundamental element of well-being that can help patients with specific physical and behavioral health conditions. For example, commonly offered traditional practices in Native American communities include talking circles, sweat lodges, and smudging. Studies show that incorporating traditional healthcare practices may improve mental health symptoms, outcomes, and quality of life, including among individuals with SUD. 

Considerations for Key Partners 

AZ, CA, NM, and OR are the first states to receive federal approval and will lay the groundwork for integrating time-honored healing practices into their Medicaid systems. They also could serve as a model for other states that choose to pursue this demonstration. I/T/Us were integral to shaping the demonstration design and are poised to continue shaping the program details and implementation of traditional approaches to care into their Medicaid systems. 

量子资源网 experts identified some key considerations for partners, such as states and Medicaid managed care organizations (MCOs), to follow as these services are incorporated into Medicaid: 

  • Collaborate with I/T/U facilities and communities.聽Traditional healing practices are sacred and ceremonial, so flexibility will be essential in determining how Medicaid funding can be best allocated to support providers who offer traditional practices. Communities will be critical in helping identify the specific traditional healing practices that are needed.聽
  • Support operational changes needed in I/T/U facilities.聽Compliant and efficient billing practices will be essential to the success of the demonstrations. States can support I/T/U facilities to develop necessary trainings, workflows, and administrative processes. For example, the provider qualification criteria and implementation is central to meeting federal compliance and reporting requirements. Facilities also will need to meet Medicaid billing requirements to collect 100 percent of the federal medical assistance percentage (FMAP).聽
  • Partner with I/T/U facilities. To facilitate proper care coordination, states, health plans, and non-I/T/U providers should partner with I/T/U facilities to ensure patients experience the best health outcomes.聽

 Connect With Us 

量子资源网 has learned the value and importance of working with Native American and Alaska Native populations and respecting their unique approaches to improving healthcare. 量子资源网 has expertise on healthcare issues that uniquely affect AI/AN populations and is experienced in addressing these challenges through AI/AN leadership and engagement that is culturally sensitive and respectful. Our experience working directly with Tribes encompasses extensive and applicable knowledge of healthcare operations in rural and urban settings to support infrastructure needs, including data management, IT, staffing, policies and procedures, training, and eligibility and enrollment processes. 

Contact our featured expert below聽to learn more about 量子资源网鈥檚 work to support Native American and Alaska Native communities.聽

Blog

Health policy priorities on the table: Understanding the post-election landscape for Marketplace, Medicaid, and Medicare programs

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This week’s In Focus鈥痵ection addresses post-election implications and initial considerations for understanding President-Elect Donald J. Trump鈥檚 possible federal healthcare policy agenda. Though healthcare was not the highest priority campaign issue, the president-elect and his team have signaled the policy agenda could include changes to the Affordable Care Act (ACA), Medicaid, and the nation鈥檚 public health programs. 

Additionally, President Trump鈥檚 first term policy agenda and how these policies fared, provide critical insights into the policy direction for his second term, including policies on Medicare drug pricing, ACA marketplaces, and interoperability. Also vital to understanding and planning for a second term will be the appointees to key healthcare positions at the Department of Health and Human Services and in the White House. 

Policy officials and specific policy agendas are still nascent, and 量子资源网, Inc., federal and state experts are continuing to monitor these developments. The remainder of this article focuses on a few key considerations for the Marketplace, Medicaid, and Medicare healthcare insurance programs heading into 2025. 

ACA Marketplace Issues to Watch 

President-Elect Trump signaled he is uninterested in revisiting a legislative initiative to repeal and replace the ACA. However, one of the major defining issues facing the president-elect and the next Congress is the temporary policy providing enhanced tax credits that lower ACA premiums, which expires at the end of 2025. This and other tax policies are very likely to be on the table, particularly as budget reconciliation is an available tool in unified government. 

Key considerations for healthcare stakeholders regarding the subsidy policy and federal funding for Marketplace outreach and education programs include: 

  • The Congressional Budget Office (CBO)聽聽that extending the present enhanced subsidy policies would cost more than $300 billion over 10 years. The CBO also聽聽that ACA marketplace enrollment would drop from 22.8 million in 2025 to 18.9 million in 2026 if the subsidy policy is not renewed.聽
  • The loss of subsidies would increase the number of uninsured individuals in the United States, but the size of the increase would depend on the state-specific landscape. For example, states that have not adopted the ACA鈥檚 Medicaid expansion for adults are expected to have a higher increase relative to states that have more expansive Medicaid eligibility. One potential approach is for lawmakers to modify the enhanced subsidy policy, rather than let it expire entirely.  
  • Marketplace plans should be prepared for a change in the acuity mix of enrollees while providers should expect a change in their payer mix, with more uninsured individuals in states that have not expanded Medicaid. 

Federal and state policymakers may pursue a combination of alternatives to fill gaps in access to healthcare coverage and services. For example, the president-elect and incoming congressional leaders may focus on alternative coverage options and other state-driven reforms to Marketplace programs. Alternatives that could become part of the regulatory policy agenda include: 

  • Supporting association health plans (AHPs) and high-risk pools 
  • Reverting to a federal regulatory environment that supports short-term limited-duration healthcare insurance (STLDI) plans 
  • Approving Section 1332 waivers to allow state-designed programs 

Medicaid Policy Outlook 

During Mr. Trump鈥檚 first term, one of his administration鈥檚 signature  was approving Section 1115 demonstrations that allowed states to apply work requirements to certain populations, including adult expansion populations. The first Trump Administration also revised the demonstration parameters for Section 1115 Institutions for Mental Disease (IMD), allowed coverage lockout for beneficiary noncompliance with premium payments, and  a pilot program to test interventions addressing health-related social needs (HRSNs). 

Key considerations for healthcare stakeholders regarding Medicaid flexibilities and funding include: 

  • Officials in the first Trump Administration approved  Medicaid 1115 demonstration program to address HRSNs. President Biden鈥檚 Administration expanded these policies and approved demonstrations in more than 10 states, with additional state applications pending. Incoming officials may maintain the overall policy direction  with regard to HRSNs. However, they could pivot to narrow the scope of future state HRSN proposals. Another approach could include directing states to use in lieu of services (ILOS) authority in managed care delivery systems to address HRSN.  
  • During President-Elect Trump鈥檚 first term, Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) officials prioritized work requirements and  for certain components of a state鈥檚 Medicaid program. Some states might consider revisiting these options, with modifications. If this policy direction is refreshed, federal and state officials would benefit from the foundational work conducted during the first term. 
  • New CMS officials could prioritize work on transparency in Medicaid financing and reimbursement to providers. Federal officials, regardless of political affiliation, historically have sought to improve their understanding of the flow of Medicaid funding. Incoming officials could prioritize this issue again, which would have a varied effect on health plans and providers. 

Medicare Priorities: 

Relative to Marketplace and Medicaid, first term Trump Medicare policies were advanced with less conflict. Notable policy initiatives included a focus on healthcare-related challenges in , improving , and reducing  鈥攁ll of which were also cross-cutting issues that encompassed policy work beyond Medicare and could continue to be central to the next Medicare policy agenda.  

Key considerations for healthcare stakeholders regarding Medicare policy are as follows: 

  • The president-elect鈥檚 first term  to Medicare Advantage (MA) plans sought to maximize enrollment in MA and encourage . It鈥檚 reasonable to expect second term CMS officials to maintain an overall favorable approach to MA too. Incoming officials could narrow their scrutiny of MA plans to bipartisan concerns, for example MA plans鈥 prior authorization policies. 
  • While improving outcomes for dually eligibles beneficiaries generally is a bipartisan issue, state agencies, MA and Medicaid managed care plans, and other interested stakeholders should monitor the incoming Administration鈥檚 policy agenda for dually enrolled beneficiaries in Medicare and Medicaid. During the Biden Administration, CMS issued  for Medicare Advantage Dual Eligible Special Needs Plans (D-SNPs) to improve integration for the Medicare-Medicaid dually eligible population., Incoming Trump officials could revisit the approach, including the breadth of requirements and compliance timelines.  
  • During his first term, President Trump was highly engaged in elevating concerns about  and HHS and CMS announced models and policies to  for patients. In his second term, however, the President could seek to rein in certain aspects of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), while revisiting some of his prior proposals. 

What to Watch 

The incoming Administration and its transition team are moving expeditiously to nominate new Cabinet Secretaries and to identify key staffers. The individuals appointed to departmental, agency, and advisory leadership positions will have significant leeway in shaping the federal and state healthcare policy landscapes 鈥 determining which existing policies to review and potentially revise, new policies to develop, and the approach to working with state and local officials and stakeholders. This includes the Secretary of Health and Human Services, CMS Administrator, Director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Food and Drug Administration Commissioner, and Director of the National Institutes of Health, all of which require Senate confirmation. Additionally, healthcare stakeholders should continue to monitor the leadership races for the House and Senate and the primary congressional committees with jurisdiction over healthcare programs. These leaders will be key to a second term Trump legislative policy agenda. 

Connect with Us 

This article focuses in on a subset of issues within Marketplace, Medicaid, and Medicare and in the overall healthcare sector. Our  features our experts discussing these and other insights on the election results. They provided an overview of what to expect from Congress and the Administration, focusing on key legislative priorities and executive actions.  

Join us for our next two webinars in the series exploring the election results:  

Webinar

Webinar Replay: 2024 Political Checkpoint

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This webinar was held on November 12, 2024.

In the 2024 Political Checkpoint hosted by Leavitt Partners, an 量子资源网 company, we explored up-to-the-minute insights on the election results, discussed both confirmed outcomes and remaining uncertainties, along with the mandate for change that has emerged. Our expert panelists provided an overview of what to expect from Congress and the Administration, focusing on key legislative priorities and executive actions, and shared their prediction for what to watch over the first 100 days:

2024 Wrap Up
Lame duck session in Congress, end of year regulatory action

A New President
Implementing campaign promises through appointments

2025 Policy Agendas
Where committees, agencies may set their sights

Key Issues
Healthcare priorities that could see the spotlight

Blog

Comprehensive 50-state survey explores Medicaid policy landscape for FY 2025

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This week, our In Focus highlights the 24th annual Medicaid Budget Survey conducted by the Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF) and 量子资源网, Inc. (量子资源网), in collaboration with the National Association of Medicaid Directors (NAMD). Survey results were released on October 23, 2024, in two new reports:  and . 

The sections below review results and share key takeaways. On November 12, during NAMD鈥檚 2024 Fall Conference, KFF experts and state Medicaid directors will delve into survey findings on policies in place or planned for fiscal year (FY) 2024 and FY 2025, including state experiences with reduced state revenues and the unwinding of the pandemic-related continuous enrollment provision.  

Several of 量子资源网鈥檚 former Medicaid directors and Medicaid experts will be in attendance at the NAMD meeting to provide additional context and address questions about FY2025 Medicaid policies in the post-election landscape. Visit our Medicaid team at our exhibit hall booth, where we will have executive summaries on hand.

Medicaid Enrollment and Spending Growth 

During the COVID-19 pandemic, Medicaid enrollment reached record highs as a result of the Families First Coronavirus Response Act, which authorized a 6.2 percentage point increase in the federal match rate, also known as the or Federal Medical Assistance Percentage until the public health emergency ended, provided that states did not disenroll people with Medicaid coverage. During this time, Medicaid and Children鈥檚 Health Insurance Program (CHIP) enrollment rose to 94 million in April 2023 from 71 million in February 2020. In FY 2024 and into FY 2025, states are concluding their Medicaid unwinding eligibility redeterminations. 

Medicaid enrollment declined by 7.5 percent year over year in FY 2024 and is expected to further decline by 4.4 percent in FY 2025. However,鈥痭et Medicaid enrollment remained above pre-pandemic levels. Total Medicaid spending growth slowed to 5.5 percent in FY 2024 and is expected to slow further to 3.9 percent in FY 2025. State shares of spending, however, rose by 19.2 percent in FY 2024 and is estimated to slow to 7 percent in FY 2025. According to FY 2025 enacted budgets, most states anticipate revenue growth will continue to flatten and expect state general fund spending growth to slow. More than half of responding states anticipated a state revenue shortfall to some degree (see Figure 1). 

Figure 1. Percent Change in Medicaid Spending and Enrollment, FY 1998鈭2025 

Source: FY 2024鈭2025 spending data and FY 2025 enrollment data are derived from the annual KFF survey of state Medicaid officials conducted by 量子资源网, October 2024. All 50 states submitted survey responses by October 2024; state response rates varied across questions. FY 2025 projections based on enacted budgets. Historic data reflects growth across all 50 states and DC and comes from various sources.

Managed Care and Provider Rates 

Capitated managed care remains the predominant delivery system for Medicaid in most states. Specifically: 

  • A total of 46 states operated some form of Medicaid managed care (managed care organizations [MCOs] and/or primary care case management [PCCM]). 
  • 42 states contracted with risk-based MCOs. 

States use a variety of鈥痳isk mitigation tools鈥痶o ensure appropriate payment levels for MCOs, including risk-sharing arrangements, risk and acuity adjustments, medical loss ratios, or incentive and withhold arrangements (see Figure 2). 

  • Of the 41 responding MCO states, 25 reported seeking approval from the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) for a capitation rate amendment to address shifts in the average risk profile of MCO members in FY 2024 and/or FY 2025 because of the unwinding.  
  • Separate from the KFF report, 量子资源网 tracks state Medicaid managed care rate certifications. In addition, Wakely, an 量子资源网 Company,  a paper summarizing approaches taken by actuaries in 27 states, and considerations for how they relate to the biggest enrollment shift in Medicaid since the implementation of the Affordable Care Act. 

Figure 2. States Seeking Capitation Rate Amendments to Address Acuity Shifts Resulting from the Unwinding for the Rating Periods Beginning in FY 2024 and/or FY 2025 

Source: Annual KFF survey of state Medicaid officials conducted by 量子资源网, October 2024

States also are implementing a range of fee-for-service (FFS) rate increases across provider types. More than half of states reported increasing both inpatient and outpatient hospital FFS base rates in FY 2024. States reported rate increases for nursing facilities and home and community-based service providers more often than for other provider categories, reflecting ongoing staffing challenges for long-term services and supports (LTSS).鈥疢ost states also reported rate increases for outpatient behavioral health providers, primary care professionals, and dentists. 

Social Determinants of Health and Reducing Health Disparities 

States are increasingly addressing social determinants of health (SDOH) and associated health-related social needs (HRSN) using several types of Medicaid authorities. For example: 

  • A total of 39 states reported leveraging Medicaid MCO contracts to promote at least one strategy to address SDOH, including screening enrollees for behavioral health or social needs, providing referrals to social services, partnering with community-based organizations, and requiring providers to capture SDOH data and employ community health workers. See Figure 3 for details. 

Figure 3. MCO Contract Requirements Related to SDOH, FY 2024鈭25 

Source:鈥疉nnual KFF survey of state Medicaid officials conducted by 量子资源网, October 2024
  • Nearly all states also had least one specified MCO requirement related to reducing racial and ethnic health disparities in FY 2025. 量子资源网 one-third of states reported at least one MCO financial incentive tied to reducing racial/ethnic disparities in place in FY 2024, most commonly linking capitation withholds or pay for performance incentives to improving health disparities. 
  • Medicaid Section 1115 demonstrations are also being used to expand flexibilities by adding HRSN services and supports, including coverage of rent/temporary housing, utilities, and meal support. CMS has approved ten states under the new HRSN Section 1115 framework. 

叠别苍别蹿颈迟蝉听

In all, 41 states reported new or enhanced benefits in FY 2024, and 38 states reported plans to add or enhance benefits in FY 2025. Benefit enhancements continue to outpace benefit cuts. 

  • States especially continue to expand behavioral health benefits, particularly for mental health and substance use disorder services. 
  • A total of 11 states reported benefit actions related to the addition or expansion of crisis services, including mobile crisis responses and crisis services for youth. 

Prescription Drugs 

Rising prescription drug鈥痗osts鈥痑re an ongoing concern for states and nearly three-quarters of states reported at least one new or expanded initiative to contain prescription drug costs in FY 2024 or FY 2025. 

  • Efforts to implement or expand value-based arrangements with pharmaceutical manufacturers were the most frequently mentioned cost-containment initiative across states. 
  • Weight-loss prescription drugs also are a hot topic in the states; 13 states now cover GLP-1s (glucagon-like peptide-1s) prescribed to treat obesity. Most state Medicaid programs reported that cost was a key factor contributing to their decisions. 

Key Opportunities, Challenges, and Priorities in FY 2025 and Beyond 

Medicaid directors are focused on behavioral health, LTSS, and key initiatives related to SDOH or reentry services for justice-involved populations in FY 2025 and beyond. In addition, state-reported priorities included鈥痬aternal and child health, rural initiatives, school-based services, continuous coverage for children, value-based payment and quality initiatives, and network monitoring and oversight. 

Budget pressures and workforce shortages are among the main challenges for Medicaid. States noted adequate staffing and systems are obstacles for compliance with recently promulgated federal regulations, particularly the access and managed care rules, which present new reporting, oversight, and beneficiary protection responsibilities for states. Many states also reported a notable increase in per enrollee costs due to the greater healthcare needs of enrollees who retained coverage during the unwinding, adding pressure to budgets. 

Connect with Us 

The KFF Medicaid budget report provides important policy insights for federal and state government decisionmakers and Medicaid stakeholders. 量子资源网鈥檚 Medicaid experts know the impact and planning needed to navigate these policies and to inform new decisions in 2025 and beyond. For more information about the key takeaways from the KFF report and 量子资源网鈥檚 Medicaid solutions, contact our experts below.

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Nevada releases Medicaid managed care RFP: State will expand managed care statewide into rural areas

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This week, our In Focus section highlights the State of Nevada鈥檚 October 21, 2024  (RFP), which will expand Medicaid managed care to cover nearly all populations in all counties. The Department of Health and Human Services鈥 Division of Health Care Financing and Policy (DHCFP) estimates that the expansion statewide will cover 75,000 additional individuals who live in rural areas, including children, parents, and adults without children. The expansion to rural areas in all counties presents new opportunities and critical issues for managed care plans, ensuring that they meet the needs of rural populations effectively. 

Background 

In 2024, Nevada covers 788,000 Medicaid members, with risk-based capitated Medicaid managed care making up about 75 percent of the total Medicaid population. Managed care covers traditional Medicaid and expansion, the Children鈥檚 Health Insurance Program (CHIP) known as Nevada Check Up, and children who have aged out of foster care. Enrollment in an MCO is mandatory for these populations. Currently, Medicaid managed care is only offered in the urban Washoe and Clark counties, which include cities such as Reno and Las Vegas.  

Nevada has four MCOs that were procured in 2021: Centene/SilverSummit HealthPlan, Elevance/Anthem, Molina, and UnitedHealthcare/Health Plan of Nevada. These MCOs serve approximately 588,000 beneficiaries in Urban Washoe and Urban Clark counties as of August 2024. 

United and Elevance make up the majority of market share by enrollment, with 34.4 percent and 33 percent respectively.  

Individuals who receive Medicaid through fee-for-service (FFS) are Medicaid-enrolled children in foster care, juvenile justice, and child welfare systems; individuals with disabilities; seniors; and individuals receiving services through one of the three 1915 home and community-based waiver programs. These individuals will continue to receive services through FFS. 

RFP Highlights  

The RFP describes the state鈥檚 three managed care service areas (SA): Urban Washoe, Urban Clark, and Rural. The Rural SA will include all other counties in Nevada in addition to the rural areas of Washoe and Clark counties. 

MCOs must bid on all service areas. DHCFP anticipates selecting four plans. The two awarded vendors with the highest rural care score will operate in all three SAs. The remaining awarded vendors will operate in Urban Clark and Urban Washoe SAs. The state has the option to award a fifth contract to an MCO to operate in the Urban Clark SA only.  

The RFP focuses on rural care and policies designed to improve outcomes and access to care, reduce burdens for providers to participate, and simplify administrative tasks for the state. MCOs will need to show their understanding of the unique challenges facing rural providers. They will describe their approach for provider outreach, contracting, and provider training strategies in rural areas, with a focus on primary care, maternal and child health, and behavioral health. Due to the geographic limitations, telehealth will also play a strong role. MCOs will need to address limitations such as access to internet and provide an approach to help members access telehealth. Additionally, MCOs will need to provide their experience in managing non-emergency medical transportation (NEMT) in rural areas and describe an approach for establishing and maintaining a network of transportation providers in these remote areas.  

MCOs also will be required to offer at least one Silver and one Gold Qualified Health Plan (QHP) on Nevada Health Link Marketplace by the 2026 coverage year. The state expects this contractual requirement will help reduce churning and improve continuity of care for individuals and families who have a change in eligibility status. 

MCOs must also contract with providers that use alternative payment methodologies (APMs), and plans will need to outline value-based purchasing (VBP) strategies within their proposals. APM contracting strategies must support priority areas such as addressing health-related social needs (HRSNs) and improving health equity, access, behavioral health, and maternal and child health outcomes. APM contracting strategies must include quality measures in the payment methodology and outline reporting and estimated financial details. Additionally, MCOs are required to develop a Population Health Program, so proposals must outline how it will leverage specific APMs to meet the program鈥檚 goals. 

Evaluation 

MCOs will require a minimum score of 945 points (out of 1,350 points) on the Technical Proposal to be eligible to win a contract. The Building Provider Networks and Access to Care technical questions is worth the most points, 450, while 300 points are available under the Rural Care and Service Area Expansion section. The table below provides a breakdown of the Technical Proposal Scoring. 

The state assigns the highest number of points to the section addressing provider networks and access to care followed by the section addressing rural care and service area expansion. 

Timeline 

Key Considerations  

量子资源网 experts identified the key considerations for MCOs, partners to MCOs, providers who will furnish services to members, and other interested stakeholders.  

  • The Building Provider Networks and Access to Care Rural Care and Service Area Expansion sections together are worth 750 points, most of the minimum needed, and more than half of the total available points. This is a strong indicator of that MCOs need to demonstrate capacity and innovation to ensure access to members using multiple strategies. Ensuring a robust network of healthcare providers in rural areas is crucial. This includes recruiting and retaining providers who are willing to serve in these regions.  
  • In this RFP, DCHFP is evolving its value-based payment (VBP) initiatives and expectations for MCOs. The VBP strategies are intended to enhance care quality, improve patient outcomes, and ensure the sustainability of the Medicaid program. MCOs will need to design these models and successfully work with providers to implement the strategies and models.  
  • Both improving maternal and child health outcomes and addressing mental health and substance use disorders are priorities for the state. These can be more challenging in rural settings due to limited access to specialized care and will require rural specific solutions. 
  • Changing the Medicaid delivery system model in some rural areas may create the need for building awareness and understanding for the changes that come with this transition. MCOs should be prepared to effectively address the issues of equity and disparities that are present in in rural communities.  

Connect with Us 

量子资源网鈥檚 experts understand the Medicaid managed care environment and specific issues presented by rural areas. We work with clients to address the multilevel challenges for delivery of quality healthcare and social services to rural populations, and the workforce concerns they create. We identify and help plan for access issues such as lack of services, transportation difficulties, and socio-economic barriers.  量子资源网 knows the difficulties that often keep rural providers and organizations from achieving their full potential to serve and support their communities鈥 need and help Medicaid clients in rural areas in states around the country to solve these difficult problems. 

Read more about the work we are engaged in with a range of healthcare industry leaders focused on rural and frontier areas.  

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Healthcare solutions unlocked: Key takeaways from the 2024 量子资源网 Conference

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The 量子资源网 Conference – Unlocking Solutions in Medicaid, Medicare, and Marketplace 鈥 was held in early October in Chicago, drawing a crowd of 350 participants hailing from all parts of the healthcare ecosystem. In the words of one attendee, what made the 量子资源网 conference unique was that 鈥渋t was very rare to have providers, CBOs, health systems, insurers, and public sector organizations in one place鈥 gained significant value by viewing similar issues from different perspectives.鈥

Attendees participated in plenary sessions and breakouts that were grounded in Medicaid, Medicare, and Marketplace, with each session extending beyond the traditional topics for these public health insurance programs. Attendees were challenged and inspired to consider the cross-cutting work underway to address health equity, the integration of housing into healthcare, innovative strategies for behavioral health coverage for adults as well as children and families involved in the child welfare system, and the opportunities for federally qualified health clinics to engage in value-based care delivery to improve outcomes.

Signature 量子资源网 discussions with health plan leaders and Medicaid directors also provided valuable insights that will help guide the next phase of innovative programs and technologies designed and deployed to improve health. Breakout sessions offered in-depth exploration across Medicaid/Duals, Medicare/MA, and Marketplace/ACA tracks, alongside discussions on demand for innovation, advances in treating sickle cell disease, and creative workforce strategies. The conference concluded with a panel that prepared attendees for policymaking in the post-election, post-Chevron deference landscape.

The 量子资源网 event created opportunities to learn and network with potential partners against the background of the city of Chicago skyline, as one participant put it, 鈥渁way from the daily craziness.鈥 The discussions were robust and focused on new ideas that can be deployed by stakeholders all trying to improve the accessibility, quality, equity, and value of healthcare.

Listed below are conference takeaways that will be of interest and relevant to the broader healthcare ecosystem:

Systemize the little things that improve outcomes.

Keynote speaker Dr. Darshak Sanghavi from ARPA-H challenged people to focus on systematizing the 鈥渓ittle things鈥 that drive measurable improvements in outcomes as a source of meaningful innovation. His presentation focused on how ARPA-H is investing differently in private sector innovation 鈥 not just big breakthroughs, but also in data-informed approaches that produce consistent quality.

Housing is a healthcare issue.

There is increasing overlap between initiatives to address housing support in Medicare and Medicaid. Bridging diverse sectors and stakeholders is essential to address critical gaps in service delivery. 量子资源网鈥檚 new Housing Services & Supports practice group recognizes that housing is part of healthcare, but it does not have to be fully funded by healthcare entities.

Cross-payer collaboration would improve behavioral health.

Behavioral health coverage has historically relied on the Medicaid-based chassis of coverage, but the breadth of needs and federal parity requirements have created an urgent need for new approaches to coverage across all systems and all payers. Cross-payer innovation and collaboration are essential, and systems need to position themselves to scale effective solutions that allow individuals to access services when they need them. In particular, youth and family voices must be part of the transformation of children’s mental health systems to smooth their experience.

The ACA is stable, but 2025 brings uncertainty.

The stability and future success of the ACA marketplaces hinge on the decisions of the 119th Congress regarding the extension of subsidies. If these subsidies are reduced or cancelled it could disrupt what has become a robust and reliable segment of the health insurance market, potentially requiring another pivotal transformation.

Community collaboration can bridge Medicaid health gaps.

New norms are emerging in the Medicaid program. There is unprecedented policy and programmatic work underway to ensure member experiences are informing the design of Medicaid programs as well as the type and pathways for accessing health and health adjacent services. Federal and state government, managed care plans, and providers must work together to bridge the gap to ensure Medicaid programs are best able to serve their members.

Interoperability remains foundational to quality improvement.

We have many different information systems, but when data is pushed to providers to help them manage their patient panel — ED visits, medications, and other data 鈥 higher quality care is more likely to be provided to patients.

Provider networks can be structured to ensure success in value.

Medicare providers are embracing value-based care on different timelines and in varied ways. Policymakers, health plans, and other stakeholders need to think carefully about how to structure networks with those providers who are doing it well to get the best results.

Clinics need help with data and financing to drive value-based outcomes.

Poverty is the primary diagnosis for patients of federally qualified health centers (FQHCs), and payment can better recognize the connections FQHCs make to anti-poverty services and programs. As the healthcare industry moves providers along the trajectory of value-based payment, FQHCs will be positioned to deliver whole person care if their data and financing is aligned.

These 鈥 and other takeaways and partnerships 鈥 will inform strategic, policy, programmatic and operational decisions at the hundreds of organizations represented at the 量子资源网 conference. They are also key points as we shape the conversations for the 2025 event.

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CMS releases draft benefit and payment parameters for 2026 Marketplace

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Our second In Focus article reviews the recently proposed Notice of Benefit and Payment Parameters (NBPP) for 2026. The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) , released October 10, 2024, describes the policy and payment changes that will affect the Affordable Care Act (ACA) markets in 2026. Public comments must be submitted to CMS by November 12, 2024. Key highlights from the proposed rule follow. 

Broker Oversight and Monitoring 

CMS proposes to increase oversight and accountability for brokers and agents that write policies through HealthCare.gov. In response to the  earlier this year of fraudulent actors reassigning broker designations and switching consumer enrollments without their permission or knowledge, CMS has already implemented several , including the  of 850 Healthcare.gov agents and brokers. CMS intends to build on these actions through the following interventions: 

  • Clarify that lead agents, typically an agency owner or executive, are subject to the same rules as individual brokers, agents, and web-brokers and that enforcement action can be taken against the lead agents if they explicitly or implicitly condone misconduct or fraud 
  • Broaden CMS鈥檚 authority to suspend broker and agent system access, inclusive of instances of suspected misconduct that affects eligibility determinations, operations, applicants, or systems 
  • Update the model consent form to include documentation of the broker reviewing and confirming the accuracy of submitted application information with the consumer. 

Marketplace User Fees 

CMS proposes to increase the user fee collected to pay for administration of HealthCare.gov as follows: 

  • Between 1.8 percent and 2.5 percent in 2026 for federally facilitated marketplaces (FFM) states, up from 1.5 percent of monthly premiums in 2025 
  • Between 1.4 percent and 2 percent in 2026 for state-based marketplaces on the federal platform (SBM-FPs), up from 1.2 percent in 2025 

The proposed changes are due, in part, to uncertainty caused by the future of the enhanced premium tax credits that are set to expire at the end of 2025. The enhanced premium tax credits are the driving force behind the  in nationwide marketplace enrollment to more than 21 million people in 2020 from 11.4 million in 2020. If not extended, or if it takes past March 2025 for Congress to act, CMS has indicated the user fees will increase in 2026 to 2.5 percent for FFM states and 2% for SBM-FPs to accommodate expected enrollment declines. Notably, after several years of significant decreases, CMS is proposing to increase the user fees above 2025 levels regardless of the outcome of the enhanced premium tax credits. 

Plan Limits for Non-Standard Plans 

CMS proposes to clarify rules limiting the number of non-standardized plans an issuer can offer through HealthCare.gov (two or less in 2025). The limit is applied per product network type (e.g., HMO, PPO), per metal level, per service area, per inclusion of adult/pediatric dental and/or vision benefits (with additional exceptions, starting in payment year (PY) 2025, for plans with specific design features that would substantially benefit consumers and meet other requirements). To maximize the number of non-standardized plans offered on HealthCare.gov, an issuer could offer up to 16 plans per metal level and network type in a given service area by creating every combination of adult dental, pediatric dental, and adult vision (or even more, if plans meet the exception requirements). 

Though CMS does not limit the number of standardized plan options an issuer offers on HealthCare.gov, they propose reinstating a meaningful difference standard to prevent consumer confusion and unnecessary plan proliferation. The proposed standard is similar to the removed standard from 2019; for plans in the same metal level, product type, and service area, a reasonable consumer needs to be able to identify at least one material difference in benefit coverage, provider networks, and/or formulary. 

New Premium Payment Threshold Options for Issuers 

CMS proposes new options for issuers to avoid triggering late payment grace periods for consumers who make most but not all of their premium payment to minimize termination of coverage for consumers who owe a small amount. The options include: 

  • The current option of a 鈥渞easonable鈥 percentage of net premium. CMS proposes codifying 95 percent as the minimum threshold. 
  • New proposals of as low as 99 percent of gross premium and a fixed-dollar threshold of $5 or less. 

CMS is also considering limiting issuers to offering just one payment threshold option鈥攅ither fixed-dollar or percent of premium鈥攖o avoid consumer confusion. 

Increased Transparency for State-Based Marketplaces 

CMS proposes new initiatives to promote transparency into state-based marketplace (SBM) program operations. These initiatives include: 

  • Publishing State Marketplace Annual Report Tool (SMART) submissions, which are used to monitor SBM compliance with select eligibility and enrollment, program integrity, and financial reporting requirements. SBMs must annually participate in independent programmatic and financial audits as part of SMART. CMS proposes to make the 2023 SMART submissions public in spring 2025. 
  • Expanding the disclosure of SBM information to include data collected but not currently published, including details on SBM eligibility, enrollment, and plan certification policies as well as Navigator program spending, call center metrics, and website traffic data. 

SBMs already are required to publish programmatic and financial audit summaries and generally publish robust data and information on their program operations through public reports and meetings; however, this information is neither centrally located nor consistently published across all SBMs. 

Key Considerations 

The proposed 2026 NBPP would build on previous actions that CMS has taken to address fraudulent broker and agent activity and to shore up financial sustainability of Healthcare.gov operations in light of uncertainty about the enhanced premium tax credits. It also seeks to make clear how plan variations adding dental or vision benefits factor into HealthCare.gov plan limits and gives issuers new premium payment threshold options. Lastly, it proposes new transparency requirements for SBMs. Interested stakeholders, including SBMs and issuers, should monitor how these proposed changes will affect consumers, operational processes, product strategy, and financial sustainability. 

Connect With Us 

The 量子资源网, Inc., team has the depth, experience, and subject matter expertise to assist with tailored analysis and the modeling capabilities to assess the policy impacts to consumers, marketplaces, and issuers. If you have questions or want to discuss the proposed rule, contact our featured experts below.

For additional information on elements of the proposed NBPP not discussed here, Wakely Consulting鈥檚聽white paper, , highlights the proposed changes to the Risk Adjustment program, Medical Loss Ratio, and the Actuarial Value Calculator, among other changes.聽

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Medicaid unwinding: enrollment shifts and Q2 2024 managed care insights

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This week, our In Focus section addresses the significant change in national and state-specific Medicaid enrollment as a result of the Medicaid unwinding process. First, we highlight notable enrollment changes in the post-unwinding months. Next, we provide an update on second quarter (Q2) 2024 monthly capitated, risk-based Medicaid managed care enrollment. The experiences of the unwinding and the impact and current enrollment landscape are directly affecting strategic and programmatic decisions across all states, Medicaid managed care plans, and their partners and stakeholders. 

Background 

As explained in previous鈥In Focus鈥痑rticles (article #1,鈥article #2鈥痑苍诲鈥article #3), federal COVID-19 relief laws allowed states to receive higher federal funding for Medicaid as long as they did not terminate Medicaid coverage for anyone enrolled in Medicaid during the public health emergency. One result of the continuous coverage policy was sustained growth in Medicaid enrollment. More than 21 million additional individuals were continuously enrolled in Medicaid for up to three years between February 2020 and March 2023. In December 2022, Congress ended the Medicaid continuous coverage policy after March 31, 2023. States were鈥allowed鈥痶o begin processing redeterminations as early as February 2023 and start disenrolling ineligible individuals as early as April 2023. 

The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) offered states a series of flexibilities intended to facilitate the unwinding process, which reduced some administrative burden and improved continuity of coverage for Medicaid enrollees. Most states adopted at least one of the flexibilities, with many using multiple options. Nonetheless, variations in timing and implementation of the flexibilities have affected their effectiveness. 

California, for example, received federal approval for flexibilities in its automatic redetermination process early on but implemented enhanced automation months into its unwinding process. This increased automation cut the number of disenrollments in half. Another key challenge during the unwinding was contacting enrollees about the redetermination process, and several of the federal flexibilities involved increased coordination with Medicaid managed care organizations (MCOs). 

Key Takeaways 

States lost an average of 15 percent of their peak COVID-era Medicaid enrollment between March 2023 and June 2024. Several effective practices could be adopted to address those individuals and families who remain eligible but not enrolled and to minimize procedural disenrollments in the future. Below is a snapshot of data and early insights 量子资源网, Inc. (量子资源网), experts identified through their work with Medicaid stakeholders and analysis of Medicaid enrollment and eligibility data. 

  • Some states are several months beyond their anticipated unwinding period. Still, more than half of states continue to see small net reductions in their Medicaid populations (see Table 1). 

Table 1. Enrollment Changes during and after Unwinding, September 2024 

  • Despite the ongoing enrollment reductions, net Medicaid enrollment generally remains above pre-pandemic levels and is likely to remain so. This enrollment change has been boosted by several states鈥擨daho, Utah, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Missouri, South Dakota, and North Carolina鈥攚hich expanded their Medicaid programs immediately before or during the COVID-19 pandemic. 
  • Following the official end of the Medicaid unwinding period, the acuity of the Medicaid population increased significantly. Early actuarial assessments, including those conducted by 量子资源网 actuaries, indicate that the average Medicaid population is older and sicker than before the unwinding started. Consequently, Medicaid populations may be more complex and expensive to manage鈥攑rompting states and managed care plans to reassess their capitation rates for current and future years. The 24th鈥痑nnual Medicaid Budget Survey conducted by The Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF) and 量子资源网 (量子资源网), in collaboration with the National Association of Medicaid Directors (NAMD), also provides key take-aways on provider rates and managed care, among other issues in the As Pandemic-Era Policies End, Medicaid Programs Focus on Enrollee Access and Reducing Health Disparities Amid Future Uncertainties: Results from an Annual Medicaid Budget Survey for State Fiscal Years 2024 and 2025

Medicaid Managed Care Enrollment Update 鈥 Q2 2024 

Today, 量子资源网 Information Services (量子资源网IS) posted a quarterly update for Medicaid managed care enrollment. We collected and analyzed monthly Medicaid enrollment data from the second quarter (Q2) of 2024 (April鈭扟une) in capitated, risk-based managed care in 29 states. These data allow for the timely analysis of enrollment trends across states and MCOs as well as state and plan-specific analyses of managed care enrollment following the official end of the Medicaid unwinding period.1  

The 29 states highlighted in this review have released monthly Medicaid managed care enrollment data via a public website or in response to 量子资源网鈥檚 public records request. This report reflects the most recent data posted or obtained. 量子资源网 has made the following observations related to the enrollment data (see Table 2): 

  • As of June 2024, Medicaid managed care enrollment across the 29 states tracked in this report was 62.7 million, down by 10.2 million (14 percent) year over year. 
  • In our review, all but one state, Mississippi, saw decreases in enrollment in June 2024 because of Medicaid redeterminations. 
  • The 22 expansion states included in the review鈥擜rizona, California, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Washington, and West Virginia鈥攈ave seen net Medicaid managed care enrollment decrease by 6.2 million (11.1 percent) in the past year, to 50.1 million members at the end of Q2 2024. 
  • The seven states that had not expanded Medicaid as of June 2024鈥擣lorida, Georgia, Mississippi, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, and Wisconsin鈥攈ave seen Medicaid managed care enrollment decrease 24 percent to 12.6 million members at the end of Q2 2024. 

Table 2. Monthly MCO Enrollment by State, April鈭扟une 2024 

Note: In Table 2 above, 鈥+/- m/m鈥 refers to the enrollment change from the previous month. 鈥% y/y鈥 refers to the percentage change in enrollment from the same month in the previous year.

It is important to note the limitations of the data presented. First, not all states report the data at the same time during the month. Some of these figures reflect beginning of the month totals, whereas others reflect an end of the month snapshot. Second, in some cases the data are comprehensive in that they cover all state-sponsored health programs that offer managed care options; in other cases, the data reflect only a subset of the broader managed Medicaid population. This limitation complicates comparison of the data described above with figures reported by publicly traded Medicaid MCOs. Hence, the data in Table 1 should be viewed as a sampling of enrollment trends across these states rather than a comprehensive comparison, which cannot be established based solely on publicly available monthly enrollment data. 

Connect with Us 

More detailed information on the Medicaid managed care landscape is available with a subscription to 量子资源网IS, which collects and aggregates Medicaid enrollment data, health plan financials, and additional actionable information about eligibility expansions, demonstration and waiver initiatives, as well as population- and service-specific information, such as Medicare and Medicaid dually eligible beneficiaries, ABD populations, long-term services and supports, and patient-centered medical homes. 量子资源网IS also includes a comprehensive public documents library containing Medicaid requests for proposals and responses, model contracts, scoring sheets, and protests.  

For additional analysis of the Medicaid unwinding initiative and 量子资源网IS鈥檚 enrollment data and subscription service, contact our featured experts below.

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24th annual Kaiser Family Foundation state Medicaid budget survey released聽

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The 24th annual Medicaid Budget Survey conducted by The Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF) and 量子资源网 (量子资源网), in collaboration with the National Association of Medicaid Directors (NAMD), was released on October 23, 2024 in the report As Pandemic-Era Policies End, Medicaid Programs Focus on Enrollee Access and Reducing Health Disparities Amid Future Uncertainties: Results from an Annual Medicaid Budget Survey for State Fiscal Years 2024 and 2025.

At the end of state fiscal year (FY) 2024 and heading into FY 2025, states were wrapping up the unwinding of the pandemic-related continuous enrollment provision, focusing on an array of other priorities, and facing uncertainty about the stability of state revenues. States were also looking ahead to federal and state elections in November and the potential implications of those elections for Medicaid enrollees, states, and providers. As states have emerged from the now-expired COVID-19 Public Health Emergency, which profoundly affected Medicaid enrollment and spending, many are focused on using Medicaid to address long-standing health disparities (often exacerbated by the pandemic), improve access to behavioral health services and long-term services and supports (LTSS), address enrollee social determinants of health, and implement broader delivery system and value-based initiatives. The report includes key take-aways on provider rates and managed care, benefits and prescription drugs, and social determinants of health and reducing health disparities.  

The report was prepared by Kathleen Gifford, Aimee Lashbrook, and Caprice Knapp from 量子资源网; and by , , , , from the Kaiser Family Foundation. The survey was conducted in collaboration with NAMD.

Other links:

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Illinois D-SNP RFP: Highlights and signals of forthcoming trends

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This week, our In Focus section from the 量子资源网 Weekly Roundup highlights the Illinois Department of Healthcare and Family Services  (RFP) for a dual-eligible special needs plan (D-SNP) to replace its current Medicare-Medicaid Alignment Initiative (MMAI) demonstration.

Overview

Illinois is one of the states affected by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) decision to end the capitated model in the federal Financial Alignment Initiative (FAI) demonstration. Illinois is among the last states to issue an RFP that will support the transition from the demonstration program. Two states, Texas and South Carolina, have yet to issue RFPs. On September 10, 2024, CMS issued a discussing end-of-demonstration enrollment and operational considerations and deadlines by which states should make operational decisions.

The 量子资源网, Inc., (量子资源网) In Focus article June 26, 2024, discussed related changes that CMS finalized to the federal policy framework for D-SNPs to enhance care coordination, improve health outcomes, and ensure that dual-eligible beneficiaries receive accurate information about their healthcare while integrating successful features of the FAI demonstration and the Medicare-Medicaid Plan (MMP) program. These decisions are prompting more states to develop new models for integrating Medicare and Medicaid services.

Illinois D-SNP RFP Highlights

This Illinois procurement will transition the state to a fully integrated dual-eligible special needs plan (FIDE-SNP) model, which will include a requirement that plans provide managed long-term services and supports (MLTSS) for both people who are dually eligible and Medicaid-only beneficiaries beginning in 2027.

The RFP is largely focused on quality care provisions and improved care coordination across all services lines, including overall expectations to achieve the following:

  • Improved access and quality of community-based behavioral health services
  • Better quality of care in facilities
  • Fewer program opt-outs
  • A strategy for increasing the use of alternative payment models (APMs) in Medicaid managed care in Illinois, particularly for behavioral health providers

Emerging National Trends

Overall, the Illinois D-SNP procurement reflects broader national trends toward more coordinated, equitable, and outcome-focused healthcare.

Focus on Health Equity. The procurement emphasizes health equity and reducing disparities, including information on innovations that are responsive to health-related social needs (HRSNs) and social determinants of health (SDOH). The state is weighing payers鈥 experience partnering with non-traditional providers to meet Medicaid customers鈥 needs, their innovative programs to address customers who are difficult to locate, and their strategies for improving care for adults with complex needs in facility or community-based settings.

In addition, the state will require plans to report outcomes by race, ethnicity, and geography. Given the demographic and health equity reporting requirements, payers should be prepared to speak to their data collection, member engagement strategies, and relationships with community-based organizations. This capability will be an essential component of addressing both population health and health equity activities.

Alternative Payment Models. The RFP also requests detailed information on the payer鈥檚 strategy for increasing the use of APMs in Illinois Medicaid managed care, including the models the payer intends to implement. Experience supported by data-driven outcomes and explanations of work with providers or clinics to adopt, manage, and support reporting and analytics for APMs is a key area of interest for the state. Notably, the state seeks information on plans to include behavioral health providers in APMs.

Long-Term Services Related Transitions. The RFP questions also reflect the long-term services and supports that dually eligible beneficiaries need, as well as those of Medicaid-only beneficiaries who are eligible for these services. More specifically, the RFP raises questions to determine how payers will effectively implement nursing home diversion plans, incentivize hospitals to discharge patients to community settings, and approaches to transition members from institutional settings to the home and community, including by connecting members with supports for HRSNs. Payers will be expected to provide specific examples of their experience and outcomes in other states.

Emerging National Trends

The emphasis on health equity in the Illinois RFP reflects a broader national trend. States are increasingly interested in鈥攁nd in some situations required鈥攁ddressing SDOH and reduce disparities, especially for the Medicare and Medicaid dual-eligible population. As a result, payers and other healthcare organizations must develop capacity internally and through external collaborations to build their expertise and evidence base for advancing improvements.

The push for APMs in the Illinois procurement aligns with national efforts to move away from fee-for-service models. Illinois鈥檚 inclusion of behavioral health providers in APMs and requiring integrated care models highlights the growing recognition of the importance of mental health in overall health outcomes.

Illinois鈥檚 RFP also reflects heightened interest in improving care transitions and coordination. The potential for incentive programs related to community placement and increased focus on nursing home diversion will require innovative plans and a long-term commitment to working with all stakeholders to build on the federal FAI experiences.

What We鈥檙e Watching

Responses to the Illinois RFP are due October 18, 2024, and awards are expected to be announced in December. The state anticipates making awards to the top four bidders. Contract execution is estimated July 2025, with implementation January 1, 2026.

As the FAI demonstration ends and CMS鈥檚 integration requirements take effect over the next several years, there will be a steep learning curve for states, payers, and other key stakeholders adapting to this evolving environment. Compliance with new CMS rules will be crucial, and experiences in Illinois and other FAI demonstration states can provide valuable insights for other states and stakeholders.

Additional growth and program refinements in the federal Medicare Advantage (MA) landscape are expected in the coming years, especially among MA D-SNPs. Those MA D-SNPs that have yet to participate in Medicaid will need to continue make significant business decisions on participation and actively compete to secure state Medicaid contracts, which will have downstream implications for their state and local partners.

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量子资源网 (量子资源网) experts continue to review the evolving landscape and federal changes that will affect D-SNPs in 2025 and beyond. Contact our featured experts below for details about the nationwide D-SNP rules and landscape.

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